Here's the delegates from yesterday
Clinton Obama
Ohio 73 to 62
R.I. 13 to 8
Texas 46 to 34
TX Caucus 19 to 21 (guess based on current 48/52 results)
Vermont 6 to 9
-----------------------------------------------
157 to 134
Total gain: 23 delegates
Obama still has a 120 or 130 lead
And below is what's left. All are Obama states except Pennsylvania (158 del.), and maybe West V. (28 del.) and PR (55 del). Being generous and assuming that they break even in every other state, Clinton will need to win those three by about 75% to make up a 120 delegate difference.
If Florida (185 del.) and Michigan (125 del.) revote, she would need to win the five states by about 61%, or the four minus Michigan by about 64% to make up a 120 delegate difference.
This begs two questions. 1. Why is the media letting her stay in? and 2. Can the party survive a few more months of this, culminating in seeing the nominee chosen by Puerto Rico?
March 8 Wyoming
March 11 Mississippi
April 22 Pennsylvania
May 3 Guam
May 6 Indiana
North Carolina
May 13 West Virginia
May 20 Kentucky
Oregon
June 3 Montana
South Dakota
June 7 Puerto Rico
Shake Shack Shake Stack
5 weeks ago
4 comments:
Her only chance, besides getting te superdelegates to swing her way, is getting MI or FL delegates seated.
Or, with Crist saying he'd pay for a FL do-over... very Limbaugh-esque.
Uh, "te" should be "the" -- criminy, couldn't I have at least managed a "teh"?
Yeah, you have to admire Crist's strategy of helping them destroy each other--very smart.
Jennifer Granholm sounds open to a do-over as well. And of course, she's backing Hillary.
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