After seeing the story about the first of the recent terrorist attacks in Iran (see
this post from Saturday), I spent, oh, 10-15 hours over the last week reading articles related to the Iran-Pakistan-Afghanistan border situation (obviously this is not a great way to spend your time). This ended, as this kind of inquiry usually does, with me throwing up my hands and wishing that oil did not exist.
It's endlessly complicated. The Zahedan attacks were done by Jundallah, a Sunni religious and separatist group in Iranian Balochistan that the U.S. supported as recently as 2007 and
probably still supports even though they are now supposedly
allied with Al Qaeda. (On some level, you have to appreciate our blatant refusal to ever learn anything.) Iran has a seriously contested presidential election in about a week. They are an observer in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), which is a Chinese-Russian NATO, and they desperately want to be made a full member at that organization's meeting which is a few days after the election. (This won't happen just in case there really is an Israeli or American bombing.) Iran and Pakistan just inked a deal for an oil and gas pipeline that will really benefit China and Houston apparently hates this. It just gets more and more complicated from there. Besides the U.S. Iran Pakistan Afghanistan and China, Saudi Arabia India Israel and Russia also each have a stake in this mess. And that's not even to mention other Central Asian countries that would benefit from the oil and gas pipelines.
Anyway, there's a lot of good coverage in
Asia Times Online, if you discount their assumptions that the U.S. is trying to destabilize Pakistan so that we can send tens or hundreds of thousands of troops we don't have into Pakistan to support Houston's favored oil and gas pipeline (which can probably never exist regardless) and prevent China from securing a Pakistani seaport, because that is, I guess, supposed to be more important to us than giving Al Qaeda a region full of black market nukes where they can operate freely. (But know that the idea that we are trying to destabilize Pakistan to do this is apparently a very popular and growing meme in much of the world.)
This article in particular gives a good explanation. (But note that it's written by a former Indian diplomat and Pakistanis accuse India of supporting terror attacks going in the other direction--from Iran and Afghanistan into Pakistan, although these accusations seem to be about 25% true and about 75% paranoia.)
What the articles don't get into as much is the
drug trade/narco-terror element.
Also, I can't resist mentioning that
Zahedan apparently figures pretty heavily in Zoroastrian prophecy.
That's all.